Market Updates

Mortgage Rates Forecast 2026: What to Expect

Expert analysis of UK mortgage rate predictions for 2026 and what it means for buyers and homeowners.

8 min readUpdated April 2026
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Key Takeaways

  • 1Base rate expected to stabilise around 4-4.5%
  • 2Fixed rates becoming more competitive
  • 3Now could be a good time to lock in rates
  • 4Remortgagers should act before SVR kicks in

Current Mortgage Rate Landscape

As we move through 2026, the UK mortgage market continues to evolve. After the volatility of recent years, we're seeing more stability in mortgage rates, though they remain higher than the historic lows we saw pre-2022.

What's Happening with the Base Rate?

The Bank of England base rate currently sits at around 4.25%, having gradually decreased from its 2023 peak. Most economists predict it will stabilise in the 4-4.5% range throughout 2026, with potential for modest decreases if inflation remains controlled.

Don't wait for rates to drop significantly - the difference between a 4.5% and 4% rate on a £250,000 mortgage is about £70/month. If waiting costs you 6 months on a higher rate, you've already lost the benefit.

Fixed Rate Predictions

Two-year fixed rates are currently averaging around 5.2-5.5%, while five-year fixes sit at 4.8-5.1%. Competition among lenders is increasing, which is pushing rates down.

Our Advice

Mortgage rates are unlikely to return to the sub-2% levels we saw a few years ago anytime soon. Rather than waiting for a perfect moment that may never come, focus on finding the best available rate for your circumstances today. As whole-of-market brokers, we can search 90+ lenders to find you the most competitive deal.

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